Friday 27 May 2016

3,098 Harlow Homes bought by private landlords in the last 20 years – Is this the end for first time buyers?

There I was, out with the family at Parndon Wood last weekend, when a smart gentleman approached me. ‘Hello’, he said, ‘You are the person writes that Property Blog aren’t you? We have met before at that Business Networking event in Harlow a few months ago’. I did then recognise him and, whilst I wont mention his name, he runs a small but perfectly formed well known independent retailers in the town ... It’s amazing who you see when out walking! Anyway, I was at a loose end for five or ten minutes as the other half was sorting things with the family, so we had a chat.

He wanted to know my thoughts on the future of the Harlow property market, and I would now like to share with you that conversation, my Harlow property Blog reading friends. People are always going to need a roof over their heads and somewhere to live will never go out of fashion – it’s a necessity for every single person. The 22 to 30 year olds of the town have a choice to what type of roof they have ... they rent from the Council, they can rent from a private landlord or finally they can get a mortgage and buy one. In the 1970’s/80’s and 90’s, the expected thing was to save like mad for two years for the deposit (going without luxuries) whilst living at home or renting a cheap two up two down, then buy your first house. However, more recently fewer Harlow youngsters have been buying, choosing to rent instead – mainly from private landlords (as Councils have been selling off council housing on the Right to Buy Schemes). The numbers are truly staggering ... and I want to share them with you.

Roll the clock back 20 years and Harlow was a different place. There were 29,926 households in Harlow and 14,115 of those were owner occupied. Move to the present, and with all the building in the town, the total number of households has increased by 15.85% to 34,668 and quite surprising (to me at least), the number of owner-occupiers has increased to 19,466 (although as a proportion, it is only 56.1% compared to 47.1% twenty years ago).

However, it’s rented sector that is truly fascinating … twenty years ago, only 666 properties were privately rented in Harlow ... and now its 3,764, a rise of 3,098.

The twentysomethings of Harlow housing difficulties haven’t been helped by the local authority selling off council housing, with the number of council houses dropping from 13,441 to 9,327 over the same twenty-year period. Demand for decent rented property remains high, as Cameron’s much vaunted house building program is years away and has decades of under investment to catch up on before it starts to affect demand. Even with the Buy to Let tax rule changes over the coming few years (which will see the maximum tax relief available to landlords drop from 45% to 20%), private landlords still have an important role to play in housing the people of Harlow and those who educate themselves and treat it as a business will survive and prosper.

The best way Harlow landlords can protect their income from property (and mitigate the affects of the tax rises) is to keep the homes they let out in Grade A condition. I have found, especially over the last three or four years, Harlow tenants have ever growing demands from their rental property, but many are prepared to pay ‘top dollar‘ for houses and apartments that meet their high expectations. You must not forget, letting property in Harlow (in fact anywhere) is a business, so all private landlords should also seek the advice, opinion and commentary of property professionals.

... And just as the other half had sorted the family, he asked ‘What of the news of Stamp Duty changes for Landlords coming in April?’ My thoughts are with such low supply (i.e. numbers of property for sale), and high demand it is hard to imagine Harlow property values will see much impact – but I predict, ever so slightly, the proportion of owner occupiers should increase slightly compared to buy to let landlords in the coming decade as the the housing market should return to balance. For more in-depth thoughts on the Harlow Property Market, which have a library of similar articles like this, all on the Harlow Property Market, please visit my blog